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Virginia One of Three 'Must Win' States in Presidential Election?

New poll out Friday puts Virginia votes in 'toss-up' status with Romney ahead of Obama 50 percent to 47 percent in Virginia.

Can Bruce Springsteen help President Obama win Virginia? The popular singer will perform in a free concert Tuesday in Charlottesville on the president's behalf. He did the same for the president last week in Ohio, considered another must-win state in the election.

The fight for Virginia votes is getting more intense. With Election Day two weeks from Tuesday, Virginia is becoming one of the ground-zero states in the presidential election and the candidates are pulling out all the stops in trying to win the state come Nov. 6. 

"I consider it one of the three crucial states," said Stuart Rothenberg, editor and publisher of the Rothenberg Political Report, a Washington-based newsletter, counting the others as Ohio and Colorado, the Richmond Times-Dispatch reported Sunday. "You've got to win two out of those three."

According to two polls released last week, Virginia's status in the presidential election has moved from leaning toward President Obama to being a "toss-up" state.

Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney is ahead 50 percent to President Obama's 47 percent among likely Virginia voters, according to a new poll released Friday.

The poll, by Rasmussen Reports, a conservative-leaning polling firm, surveyed likely voters and was taken two nights after the second presidential debate. 

An American Research Group poll released last Monday had Romney ahead by 1 percentage point in Virginia. Those who favored Romney in that poll tended to be white, age 50 and older, and male. Fifty-two percent who identified themselves as Independents in the poll said they planned to vote for Romney.

Rasmussen Reports shows that the following states have moved from "toss up" states to "leaning Romney" states:

  • Florida
  • North Carolina
  • Missouri

The states Rasmussen puts in the "toss-up" column (he notes Wisconsin, while Rothenberg notes Colorado):

  • Virginia
  • Ohio
  • Wisconsin

In the 2008 presidential election, Obama won Virginia by 52.62 percent to GOP nominee Sen. John McCain's 46.33 percent.

The survey of 750 likely voters by Rasmussen in Virginia was conducted Thursday by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95 percent level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

University of Virginia's Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball report from Thursday about the presidential election: "We don’t have a dog in this race, but we are rooting for one thing: no tie! A 269-269 Electoral College outcome would inevitably be a national crisis on par — or worse — with the 2000 Florida cliffhanger, especially if Romney lost the popular vote."

Obama and Romney each visited Northern Virginia last week. For details on those campaign stops see:

President Obamas 'Romnesia' Speech at GMU

Romney Calls for Return to American Values

Tommy the Brit October 21, 2012 at 12:55 PM
Loving the #Obamacare #Romnesia comments on social networking; a great bit of levity in the campaign and a clear energiser for the Democratic base, there will be some fallout for Romney over this. It may be a pithy bit of electoral work but the zingy comments coming from the Obama camp are getting the twittersphere (and other social networks: http://goo.gl/8FyZJ) all fired up.
Bruce Strong October 21, 2012 at 01:29 PM
News Flash- How can you still support the Obama Administration which pay Women around 18% less than Men, while GM still owes the US government over 25 BILLION dollars. Bottom line is that oil production on ALL Federal lands has DECREASED under the Obama Administration and another Green company A123 has gone bankrupt, while the unemployment rate is still at 7.8%... All this and the price of GAS has gone up 100% with the GDP at 1.3%! So how's that "Hope and Change" thingy working for you?
Betty October 21, 2012 at 04:31 PM
We as Virginians and living right outside the heart of politics,need to move this man,Obama and his family OUT of the white house. He has been a disgrace to our country and it;s people. Virginians,i sure hope you are taking in ALL that has happened since he took office, we cannot afford 4 more years of defeat. Vote Republican to save us.
Elayne October 21, 2012 at 05:44 PM
Bottom line if you want more of the same and go with his plan, then Vote Barrack Hussein Obama.
kathy brown October 21, 2012 at 06:13 PM
After listening to the two debates so far, Mr Rommney is way ahead. He clearly states what his plans are, while Mr President keeps saying the same thing over and over. He has done nothing for this country but spend our money with nothing to show for it. I will vote for Mitt and pray he wins. Give us back our country.
Elayne October 21, 2012 at 06:21 PM
Kathy my thoughts exactly ! !!!!!
Patti Cowsert October 21, 2012 at 07:45 PM
Just hope the American voter- votes on the record of these two candidates, not on promises ! Why would 4 more years be an different than the previous 4 ? Patti
marquita smith October 21, 2012 at 10:05 PM
simply I wouldn't vote for romney because who is he to tell any female basiclly that we aren't good enough to make the same as men or what to do with our bodys please after 8 yrs of hardship 4yrs isn't gonna clean it up regardless who's in office it will take twice as long to get the economy back to normal...
Kathy Keith October 21, 2012 at 11:46 PM
Romney's chief advisor is a woman. His point in the debate is that he made a concerted effort to hire women--people have made fun of his "binders full of women" but in the past binders was a common term that was used about the collection of resumes. Frankly, I am impressed that he looked to experience and resumes to do his hiring instead of politics and cronyism. Look at the current White House: Obama's administration pays less to women than to men--check it out. I think it was 83 cents on the dollar. Also, the Lily Ledbetter Act only extended the statute of limitations on bringing a suit--it did not change the rules otherwise. Women were already entitled to equal pay. Even Joe Biden in a recent speech said it really didn 't do anything for women.
joe brewer October 21, 2012 at 11:57 PM
After the last cd released by Bruce maybe he should be considering a change into politics. Not only a crummy cd by Bruces standard but by just about anyone elses also.
Kathy October 22, 2012 at 02:49 AM
Please don't tell me Americans would vote for Obama just because Bruce Springsteen sings at a rally. Come on!! Let's start getting a little educated on the facts and less impressed with "hollywood" support.
Isis October 22, 2012 at 11:09 AM
Marquita, you are absolutely correct.
Centreville Reader October 22, 2012 at 12:07 PM
My vote is for Romney. Like alot of the previous posts say, we can not afford 4 more years of B.O. We need someone who will take his job seriously and help turn this economy around. He's not in this for himself (or hollywood) he is in it to help the people. obamacare has got to go - we all wont know its true cost and effects until next year, seniors will feel the brunt of it - they are already feeling it, I have first hand knowledge. We need jobs in this country, we have heard BO say jobs jobs jobs are his top priority to many times and he never follows thru, he's a bunch of talk. He needs to go and hoping Virginia pulls thru and sends him packing. I know in my Northern Virginia area I see basically Romney signs (99 to 1). He had to go back to Mason a 2nd time in weeks just to rev up his base. Keep going Romney!
Jonathan Erickson October 22, 2012 at 12:10 PM
when a freinds loses a job it's a recession when I lose a job it's a depression when Obams loses his job it's a recovery.
Elayne October 22, 2012 at 02:16 PM
So Mr. Celebrity is going to make another ME appearance on Jay Leno. Wow he is such a narcissistic man has no shame. The eye candy reference last month about him and the Video “If you love me!! Who does this?? We are in serious trouble.... www.youtube.com/watch?v=OoJK7Pymvt
Sally Spangler October 22, 2012 at 03:25 PM
Bruce - I worked for 30 years for DOD. My pay was some, at times, 20% less than a man in the same administrative fields. Nothing has changed from 1972 to now. It isn't today's president, it is the usual that women work before the first child and after the last child. At least that is what you men figure we are worth in the working world. I didn't get paid according to my training and ability, but accordint to my personhood as a woman! Wake up dummy!
Sally Spangler October 22, 2012 at 03:27 PM
NOT MINE -
Sally Spangler October 22, 2012 at 03:32 PM
Well, wait and see when and if your candidate wins or Mr. Obama remains as president. Don't look just what the ballyhoo puts out, but what the country and the world are doing in all areas. One man's voice/thoughts aren't what happens in America. This country no longer stands all by itself, but with all countries, wherever they are on this globe!
T Ailshire October 22, 2012 at 05:29 PM
Kathy, our politicians and our celebrities use these tactics because they truly believe we are too stupid to think for ourselves, and this will sway us. Too often, we (collectively) prove them right. Never underestimate the stupidity of people in large groups.
Marcia Bowker October 22, 2012 at 07:46 PM
Wake up, Northern Virginia! Once this administration cuts defense spending, so go many jobs here! With what's happening in the world today, our country needs a strong military defense now more than ever. That is only one issue. Especially important, we need a man of action to lead our country and get our economy going not one of all talk and no action as we have now. He has had four years to "change" things around and it is worse than ever. Mitt's our man!
T Ailshire October 22, 2012 at 08:00 PM
Northern Virginia has benefited from those jobs, but the nation has not. I have been in goverment service, in one form or another, since 1978 (military, civil service, government contractor) and have yet to see an organization that was not overstaffed or duplicative. Now, I haven't been in all of them, I grant, but no commercial business could survive with the waste and inefficiency of a government bureaucracy. Neither Romney nor Obama is our guy ... but until WE THE PEOPLE wake up and demand a leader, we'll get what we get. I'm just happy I have another choice.

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